Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 103.503544 114.699174 126.096844 138.538975 151.709726 165.208812 180.062124
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 85.662445 101.911855 119.140421 138.648696 160.009385 182.579719 208.124020
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 73.731116 92.666018 113.367363 137.437464 164.421988 193.526361 227.078465
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 66.388249 87.472409 111.128378 139.236155 171.343143 206.528230 247.661653
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 60.798312 83.615595 109.814833 141.535371 178.349409 219.230434 267.572290
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 54.200959 77.955025 105.885546 140.344719 180.964453 226.649875 281.261629
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 47.614191 71.763007 100.859578 137.440106 181.223121 231.074119 291.281644
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 45.374488 70.796487 101.976957 141.706818 189.769091 244.957038 312.079003
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.824596 69.211669 102.158916 144.698133 196.694079 256.884823 330.580307
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.652812 65.193761 99.048182 143.439804 198.350651 262.504875 341.644647
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.894492 61.461305 96.079302 142.163039 199.823522 267.782287 352.207909
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.406804 59.305011 95.010895 143.158123 203.981797 276.190600 366.416768
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 29.844614 56.908389 93.546826 143.615935 207.492574 283.885215 379.896026
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 27.700717 54.972704 92.593802 144.654311 211.678723 292.377385 394.337667
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 24.921435 51.881529 89.906098 143.292128 212.738722 296.990213 404.070168
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 23.431220 50.652111 89.709872 145.152928 217.837600 306.515284 419.712566
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 22.211494 49.757198 89.919819 147.509628 223.542638 316.776845 436.255377
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 20.021176 47.134912 87.547301 146.288483 224.572148 321.210072 445.684598
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 17.530398 43.801870 83.983949 143.308393 223.211313 322.588072 451.317718
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 17.189096 44.113815 85.768666 147.685724 231.460932 335.986103 471.710304
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 16.532437 43.822244 86.622760 150.753822 237.988447 347.234649 489.485026
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 14.851110 41.562968 84.414749 149.463269 238.707812 351.135462 498.178092
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 13.302151 39.402315 82.253191 148.153695 239.336949 354.876105 506.641279